Op-ed: Bedlam in BC’s Continuing Care Sector

By Michael Kary

Michael Kary, Director of Policy and Research,.
Michael Kary, Director of Policy and Research

In early April of this year a heart breaking story appeared in the media highlighting a senior from Vernon, BC who was waiting over three months and in desperate need of admission into long term care.[i] A follow-up story that same month also showcased that the Interior Health region has the longest waitlist for long-term care among the province’s five health authorities.[ii] While unfortunate, these stories are likely to become more prevalent in the future as BC, like the rest of Canada, faces a rapidly aging population. In BC, for example, it is predicted the percentage of seniors will almost double to account for about a quarter of the population within the next twenty years.

With a growing and rapidly aging population, the continuing care sector will require new resources to meet the needs of seniors. Unfortunately, however, BC is already facing a shortage of long term care beds, which is affecting people and families who are impacted by delays to care including transitions from hospital or home health care. The BC Care Providers Association (BCCPA) in a recently released report entitled Bedlam in BC’s Continuing Care Sector: Projecting Future Long Term Care Bed Needs highlights many of these access challenges. As outlined in the BCCPA report and data provided by the Conference Board of Canada, BC is already short over 3,000 long term care beds. The same data also projects that BC requires an additional 31,000 (30,900) new long term care beds by 2035 to meet future demand due to a rapidly aging population (see Figure 1).

The BC Ministry of Health has also outlined that the growth in demand for health care for frail elderly living in long term care is projected to increase by 120% by 2036.[iii] More recent data also highlights that the number of frail elderly living annually in residential or long term care in BC is expected to almost triple (from 38,000 to over 106,000) by 2042. As such without significant increases to the number of long term care beds it is likely that media stories such as the one of the Vernon senior seeking admission to a long term care home will only become more common.

According to the most recent BC data, as of March 2018, there were about 1400 (1,379) persons waiting for admission into long term care – a 7 percent increase over the previous year. The majority or about 75 percent of those waiting for admission into long term care (1039 of 1379) were those living in the community compared to the remainder who were waiting in hospital.[iv] The latter group or alternate level of care (ALC) patients highlights not only the shortage of long term care beds but also the lack of other resources or supports in the community including home health care.


Overall, and as outlined in the BCCPA paper, the access situation is only going to worsen unless there are substantial increases in the number of new beds. In BC, request for proposals (RFPs) for new long term care beds are generally posted on the BC Bid website, yet over the past six months only one RFP for new long term care beds has been awarded.[v]

While new long term care beds are critical, it is important, however, to recognize that some of this demand can also be potentially offset through other areas in the continuing care sector particularly home health care and assisted living. While these areas and other approaches might mitigate some of the demand, no single intervention, however, will offset the demand for long term care beds as well as uphold individual preferences to remain in community as long and as independently as possible.[vi]

As highlighted in the BCCPA paper, while new approaches such as Bill 16 changes in regards to assisted living, new care models or regional initiatives to better ensure those who enter long term care need to be there will offset some of the future demand – substantial numbers of new beds will still be required. In particular, meeting new demand will require significant investments from the provincial government and health authorities but also perhaps even the federal government.

Click to read the full report.

To meet future demand, the role of the private or non-government sector (including for-profit and non-profit) will also be critical, particularly from a financial perspective. The BC government recently announced that over the next two years, several health authorities (Fraser, Island and Vancouver Coastal) will be taking over the delivery of all funded home support services.[vii] This is likely to increase the costs of delivery of such care by as much as 30 percent and as such the BCCPA has also asked the BC Auditor General to review the Ministry of Health’s decision to cancel contracts with six non-government home care providers and expropriate over 4,000 staff into government-operated health authorities.[viii]

Similar to the anticipated impacts of expropriating home support services, the BCCPA believes that the costs to tax payers would be considerably higher if the government were to move funded long term care beds from the private sector to the health authorities. Also, the construction and operation of new long term care beds by the government would add major new costs to the taxpayer.

While a significant number of new long term care beds are required to meet demand, this also does not account for existing beds that may be in care homes in BC that are outdated and require renovation or in some cases rebuilding. As outlined in the BCCPA paper, about 40% of long-term care homes in Canada require significant renovations or to be rebuilt, according to one national survey.[ix]

Along with new bed demand and ensuring current care homes are up to date, some of the other challenges explored in the paper include rising levels of acuity or complexity as seniors are entering long term care later in life. With higher levels of acuity and meeting the demand for new beds, it will require substantial more health professionals particularly health care assistants. The BCCPA estimates that based on the Conference Board projection in which BC requires about 31,000 (30,900) new long term care beds by 2035, that to meet this demand it would require about 19,000 new care providers including almost 13,000 health care aides, 4000 nurses and 2000 allied health professionals.

Globe and Mail health columnist André Picard features BCCPA “Bedlam” report
Globe and Mail health columnist André Picard features BCCPA “Bedlam” report – click thumbnail for column access

As such based on various data sources as well as review of literature, the BCCPA in its latest policy paper Bedlam in BC’s Continuing Care Sector has put forward twelve practical recommendations to improve access to seniors care and increase overall capacity in the long term care sector (see Table 1 below). If fully implemented, the recommendations outlined in this report would be significant. For example, based on the Conference Board data, the total estimated cost of constructing and operating required for new long term care beds to 2035 in BC alone would be close to $30 billion.

Given the importance of seniors particularly with an aging population we believe that such investments, however, are worthwhile. Without concrete action, wait times and wait lists for long term care will only continue to grow as seniors are denied necessary access to the most appropriate care setting and ensuring quality of life in their remaining years.


Current Access Issues

Short to Medium Term (Within the next 5 years)

  • That the BC government reduce the number of people on long term care wait lists by establishing a target within its Ministry of Health Annual Service Plan to ensure at least 65 per cent of those waiting for a bed can access one within 30 days.
  • That the BC government and health authorities establish a website to track wait time information for long term care, including potentially assisted living and home health care waits. This website should also be updated regularly or at least once every two months.

Immediate Term (within next 1 to 2 years)

  • That the BC Ministry of Health establish a target in its Annual Service Plan to have no more than 5 percent of acute care beds occupied each day by seniors who have been assessed as capable of being transferred into a more appropriate long term or home care setting and that this target be met by the end of 2024.

Future Strategy for Meeting Long Term Care Demand

Immediate Term (within next 1 to 2 years)

  • That the BC government develop a strategy to increase the number of long term care bed equivalents (LTCBE) by at least 30,000 over the next twenty years, including between 20,000 and 25,000 actual new beds. As part of any strategy, new beds should include an appropriate mix of government and private (for profit and non-profit) based roughly on the current distribution or allocation of beds.
  • That, as part of any strategy to meet future demand for long term care and assisted living, the BC government develop a BC Continuing Care Living Initiative (CCLI) to partner with private and non-profit organizations as well as provide funding for new long term care and assisted living spaces.
  • That the federal government increase capacity by committing to funding the addition of 42,000 new long-term care beds across the country by 2023.

Short to Medium Term (within next 5 years)

  • That, as part of any new long term care bed strategy or a broader Continuing Care Health Human Resource Workforce Strategy, the BC government develop a provincial health human resource (HHR) plan to meet the requirement for new long term care beds over the next twenty years.
  • That the federal government collaborate with the provinces and the long-term care sector to immediately develop and implement a Pan-Canadian health human resources strategy, in order to improve access as well as meet the needs of a growing and aging population.
  • That the BC government and health authorities, in conjunction with stakeholders, develop a consistent approach to track and project future long term care bed requirements province-wide. A report on this should be developed by the end of 2022 and updated every two years to project long term care bed needs at least ten years into the future.

Addressing BC’s Long Term Care Bed needs through alternative approaches

Short to Medium Term (within next 5 years)

  • That the BC government invest up to $50 million per year over the next four years to support the introduction of new models or approaches of care such as the Continuing Care Hub to improve access to seniors care. Where appropriate, investments from this funding should be provided to initiatives or programs across the continuing sector including assisted living and home health care that can mitigate and/or reduce future demand for long term care.

Renovating existing care homes to meet LTC demand

Short to Medium Term (within next 5 years)

  • That the federal government immediately expand eligible projects for infrastructure funding to include seniors housing which incorporates long-term care. In particular, the federal government invest in the construction, renovation and retrofit of 400 long-term care homes to meet current design standards and the needs of today’s seniors, especially those living with dementia, by 2023.

Immediate Term (Within next 1 to 2 years)

In conjunction with developing a strategy to increase number of long term care beds over the next twenty years, the BC Government establish a new $200 million Continuing Care Infrastructure Fund (CCIF), which over four years would:

  • support the immediate renewal and replacement of older long term care and assisted living homes;
  • support investments in smaller infrastructure projects such as sprinkler and ceiling lift installations, automated medication management, online training technology, security and data collection systems;
  • funding to continue or expand the existing Seniors Safety and Quality Improvement Program; and
  • invest in enhancements for improving dementia-friendly environments within existing homes to create more dementia friendly designs.


[i] Global News. April 4, 2019. Vernon senior desperate for care home placement, pleas seemingly ignored. Accessed at: https://globalnews.ca/news/5132438/vernon-senior-desperate-for-care-home-placement-pleas-seemingly-ignored/

[ii] Global News. April 8, 2019. Interior seniors wait longer for long-term care than in Lower Mainland, seniors advocate says. Accessed at: https://globalnews.ca/news/5144399/interior-seniors-wait-longer-for-long-term-care-than-in-lower-mainland-seniors-advocate-says/

[iii] Setting Priorities for BC’s Health System. BC Ministry of Health. February 2014. Accessed at: http://www.health.gov.bc.ca/library/publications/year/2014/Setting-priorities-BC-Health-Feb14.pdf

[iv] BC Office of the Seniors Advocate. Monitoring Seniors Services, 2018. January 2019. Accessed at: http://www.seniorsadvocatebc.ca/app/uploads/sites/4/2019/01/MonitoringReport2018.pdf

[v] In January 2019, the BC Ministry of Health announced that over 120 new long term or residential care beds had been awarded to Golden Life Management for the Comox Valley region as part of an earlier RFP that had been posted on BC Bid (see: BC Ministry of Health News Release: Improving seniors’ care for the Comox Valley accessed at: https://news.gov.bc.ca/releases/2019HLTH0009-000040). These were part of an RFP that had been issued by Island Health in March 2018 and which closed in May of the same year (See: BC Local News. No updates on Island Health RFP for 120 long-term care beds. November 4, 2018. Accessed at: https://www.bclocalnews.com/news/no-updates-on-island-health-rfp-for-120-long-term-care-beds/).

[vi] Canadian Institute for Health Information. Seniors in Transition: Exploring Pathways Across the Care Continuum. Ottawa, ON: CIHI; 2017. Accessed at: https://www.cihi.ca/sites/default/files/document/seniors-in-transition-report-2017-en.pdf

[vii] BCCPA. No benefit to seniors in government “expropriation” of home support staff. March 2019. Accessed at: https://bccare.ca/2019/03/no-benefit-to-seniors-in-government-expropriation-of-home-support-staff/

[viii] BCCPA. BCCPA writes to Auditor General asking for review of home support staff expropriation. March 2019. Accessed at: https://bccare.ca/2019/03/bccpa-writes-to-auditor-general-asking-for-review-of-home-support-staff-expropriation/

[ix] Canadian Association for Long Term Care. Long Overdue: Improving Seniors Care in Canada. November 2018. Accessed at: https://caltc.ca/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/CALTC-budget-submission-ONLINE.pdf

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